Elon Musk lastly admits Tesla’s HW3 won’t help full self-driving and that he doesn’t truly know what it would take.
Thousands and thousands of Tesla automobiles are geared up with HW3 computer systems.
For the higher a part of the yr, we now have been reporting that Tesla can’t obtain its promise of “full self-driving on HW3, and it wants to come back clear about it.
CEO Elon Musk lastly took a primary step in that route throughout the convention name following the discharge of Tesla’s Q3 2024 monetary outcomes.
The CEO stated when requested about Tesla attaining its promised unsupervised self-driving on HW3 automobiles:
We aren’t 100% certain. HW4 has a number of occasions the aptitude of HW3. It’s simpler to get issues to work on HW4 and it takes a number of efforts to squeeze that into HW3. There may be some probability that HW3 doesn’t obtain the security stage that enables for unsupervised FSD.
That is the primary time that Musk admitted that HW3 may doubtlessly not help unsupervised self-driving.
Nevertheless, as we beforehand reported, Tesla is at present utilizing each NN nodes on HW3 though one was initially meant as redundancy, which it is advisable to obtain Tesla’s promised stage 4-5 autonomy.
This makes it just about unimaginable for Tesla to ship on its promise as Tesla would want to maintain creating software program to resolve self-driving, which remains to be removed from conducting, after which not solely have it on HW3, however optimize it sufficient to suit on a single node.
He stated that Tesla would supply a pc improve if Tesla came upon for certain that it couldn’t ship on HW3:
If that seems to be the case, we’ll improve those that purchased HW3 FSD without spending a dime. And we now have designed the system to be upgradable.
Whereas the system is certainly “upgradable”, as Musk himself beforehand said, HW3 can’t be upgraded to HW4 because it at present exist.
He stated it wouldn’t make sense, and he’s proper. We all know that HW4 makes use of totally different energy and digital camera harnesses. The entire pc can also be a special kind issue that may make it onerous to suit the place the HW3 is put in.
Tesla would want to design a brand new model of the HW4 that may be retrofitted into HW3 vehicles.
Musk insists that HW3 cameras are “succesful”, though HW4 cameras have about 5x extra megapixels, which might level to him seeing the compute energy as the larger problem.
Electrek’s Take
I believe the extra essential remark is that this:
“We don’t truly know the reply to that.”
Once more, I’d enterprise to say that this isn’t true. They know the reply and the reply isn’t any for the explanations said above, however even when that was an correct assertion, it ought to be worrying.
Elon admits that he, or Tesla actually, doesn’t know exactly what it takes to get to full autonomy. That ought to be clear to anybody who has been following his feedback on it for years. He stated yearly for the final 5 years that Tesla would resolve autonomy by the tip of the yr.
Now, he’s assured that this can occur subsequent yr, and we should always consider him. Why?
The details are that Tesla was flawed about the truth that HW2.5 is able to self-driving. It was flawed about HW3 being able to self-driving, and it is vitally probably flawed about HW4 being able to self-driving. On the very least, it gained’t know for certain till it solves it.
If that’s the case, why is Tesla promoting the “Full Self-Driving” package deal and saying it would occur subsequent yr?
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