The US is on monitor for an additional record-breaking yr for photo voltaic, with over 32 gigawatts (GW) of utility-scale installations anticipated in 2024, based on the inaugural Photo voltaic Market Monitor from the American Clear Energy Affiliation (ACP) and S&P International Commodity Insights.
This surge comes off the again of a record-setting 2023 and is essentially attributable to an anti-circumvention tariff moratorium set by President Joe Biden in 2022, which required imported photo voltaic modules to be operational by the tip of 2024.
The brand new biannual report, the Photo voltaic Market Monitor, gives a snapshot of the place the US photo voltaic market is headed. Regardless of some short-term dips, the expansion trajectory appears to be like stable for the remainder of the last decade. The report forecasts a 6.6% compound annual development fee from 2025 to 2030, bringing the US to 37 GW of recent photo voltaic installations yearly by 2030.
This yr has been extraordinary for the photo voltaic trade, due to the anticipated rush to fulfill the tariff moratorium’s deadline, which led to the projected set up spike. That frenzy will probably be adopted by a slight dip in 2025, with installations anticipated to be about 16% decrease in comparison with 2024. Nonetheless, the market is predicted to bounce again, with regular development all through the last decade.
Capital prices for photo voltaic tasks are additionally anticipated to maintain dropping. By 2035, prices are projected to be 14% decrease, pushed primarily by declining photo voltaic module costs.
And, whereas the Trump administration and the brand new Republican-majority Congress are anticipated to revisit elements of the Inflation Discount Act (IRA), it’s unlikely that the IRA will probably be completely dismantled. Which means the muse for development ought to stay intact.
John Hensley, senior vice chairman of coverage & market evaluation at ACP, mentioned, “This inaugural report highlights how photo voltaic has solidified itself as a clear and cost-competitive power useful resource for the US. Shifting ahead, this useful resource will assist the trade navigate the dynamic US photo voltaic market.”
Learn extra: Renewables powered 24% of US electrical energy in first 3 quarters of 2024
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